Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 51.720360 59.032083 66.609458 75.017451 84.055549 93.450133 103.924554
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 41.542618 51.991810 63.404306 76.665629 91.527397 107.554558 126.031650
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.052739 45.917015 59.420036 75.658736 94.404408 115.134412 139.565626
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.362876 41.038008 56.021536 74.594510 96.581636 121.405169 151.183242
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.456628 37.763860 54.040827 74.752869 99.795947 128.552852 163.541929
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.277209 35.004940 52.351032 74.961804 102.822351 135.292560 175.284325
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.818515 32.896814 51.235261 75.666906 106.278078 142.415552 187.389743
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.093752 30.116648 49.002370 74.752582 107.579004 146.841843 196.218554
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.520492 28.791618 48.551407 76.000532 111.473025 154.332998 208.665892
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.253249 27.775704 48.412498 77.572160 115.718363 162.223731 221.591497
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.396407 25.647085 46.569266 76.753054 116.820754 166.188159 229.726447
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.453056 23.137734 43.994872 74.786208 116.313636 168.060395 235.237306
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.997222 23.090204 45.016737 77.788783 122.357745 178.221172 251.064677
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.287967 22.522498 45.216711 79.625435 126.869292 186.480802 264.601231
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.996855 20.733486 43.436652 78.572938 127.469240 189.740020 271.910670
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.860686 19.059671 41.706400 77.486416 127.943035 192.782204 278.912553
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.097397 18.006217 40.880593 77.648120 130.063317 197.911905 288.521689
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.429018 17.042228 40.127387 77.862110 132.219159 203.069489 298.164352
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.913972 16.330306 39.740083 78.584011 135.053962 209.103106 308.924401
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.219746 15.059878 38.304812 77.647882 135.528776 212.018592 315.704103
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.896124 14.643141 38.327337 78.925569 139.102663 219.012213 327.706636
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.642347 14.363208 38.570587 80.534386 143.145454 226.637299 340.543139
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.144507 13.288028 37.289280 79.695934 143.666322 229.567241 347.336346